Monthly Archives: July 2012

Air Force: Bunker Buster Weapon Ready for Use

The Air Force’s 30,000-pound bunker buster bomb is operational and ready for use if needed, Air Force Secretary Michael Donley revealed.

The Massive Ordnance Penetrator (MOP) is designed to destroy deeply buried bunkers that protect chemical, biological and nuclear weapons, according to the Air Force Times.

Defense Secretary Leon Panetta earlier this year said the bomb needed more development to be able to take out deep bunkers.

But Donley said on Wednesday: “If it needed to go today, we would be ready to do that. We continue to do testing on the bomb to refine its capabilities. We also have the capability to go with existing configuration today.”

The precision-guided MOP, which contains more than 5,000 pounds of explosives, was originally designed to take out hardened fortifications in Iran and North Korea.

“Since then, Syria has disintegrated into full civil war, making the U.S. government worried about the Syrian regime’s stockpile of chemical weapons,” according to the Air Force Times.

And the Jerusalem Post observed: “The Western world is increasingly concerned over the potential proliferation of Syria’s chemical weapons to Hezbollah.”

The MOP is reportedly able to penetrate to a depth of about 200 feet. It was developed at Eglin Air Force Base in Florida, and is made by Boeing.

The Post also reported that it is “unclear” how Israel might deploy such a bomb, which won’t fit onto its current fleet of combat aircraft. The U.S. Air Force plans to deploy the 20-foot-long bombs on B-2 bombers, which can carry a far larger payload than Israel’s combat jets.

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Night Watch…Events around the world 29 July 12


For the night of 29 July 2012

North Korea:  A spokesman for the National Defense Commission announced a clarification of its position regarding the alleged attempt to destroy the statues of the two Kims in Pyongyang. It vowed propaganda, physical and psychological reprisals against the Republic of Korea and the US, deriving from the North’s military first policy.

Comment: Today’s statement suggests the power struggle over priority access to national resources is not settled. This statement was from the senior armed forces leadership, hiding behind a spokesman. It asserted that the military remains first and that this is the defensive shield of the country.

The problem is that Kim Jong-un did not endorse those statements and the military first policy appears to be undergoing revision. Today’s statement appears to represent advocacy against a policy change by persons on the National Defense Commission, rather than a threat of action against South Korea.

North Korean military leaders are not above staging a provocation to justify their policy position and to intimidate their young leader and his advisors.

Pakistan: Update. By 25 July, the government of Prime Minister Ashraf had been under a Supreme Court order to request the resumption of criminal corruption proceedings against President Zardari that had been underway in Switzerland before he was elected president. Their suspension was part of the deal that allowed Musharraf to leave office without prosecution for constitutional crimes.

On 25 July, the Supreme Court gave the government two more weeks to contact the Swiss to resume the proceedings. The Court said it did not wish to cause the downfall of another government, as the reason for the extension.

Comment: The Supreme Court has come under domestic and international pressure for allegedly overreaching its authority in convicting former Prime Minister Gilani of contempt. That pressure explains the extension.

The government’s argument is that a sitting president is immune from prosecution while in office. While that is true for crimes committed while in office, that provision Pakistan’s constitution is irrelevant to crimes and proceedings begun before the man became president.

The Supreme Court has ordered the Pakistani government to send a letter to Switzerland to resume its investigation of Mr. Zardari, not President Zardari.

Comment: Another constitutional crisis has been postponed. The Supreme Court has demonstrated that it is sensitive to popular pressure and probably will find a way to allow the government to complete its term in office, without compromising the Court’s authority. The crisis is postponed, not suspended.

Syria: Update. Most media have reported on the large setbacks to the Syrian opposition that the seemingly tottering al Asad government delivered in the past half week. Government forces cleared the worst of the fighters from Damascus and from the one base neighborhood in Aleppo.

The more ominous problem is the emergence of the Syrian Muslim Brotherhood as the public voice of the fractious and disorganized Syrian opposition. Over the weekend, the Brotherhood condemned the Asad government and all its backers.

Comment: The Syrian opposition leadership outside Syria has proven itself to be fractious and unable to lead or even organize the fighting groups inside Syria. Until recently, the most organized and capable group has been the al Qaida fighters from outside Syria. Suicide bombings and IEDs are their trademarks, but not grand strategy.

This weekend the Brotherhood surfaced — grand strategists as ever. Open sources report little about the Brotherhood in Syria, which Hafez al Asad massacred during its 1982 uprising in Hama. The Brothers survived, obviously, and have a grudge match to play against the al Asads. They threaten to capture the opposition movement from within Syria because they are organized and focused on the political end game, not just killing Alawites.

Throughout the Arab states of the Middle East, the Brothers are having a better year in 2012 than they have ever had.

Notes for analysts:

Introduction to Strategic Intelligence Warning. DIA has announced that reconstitution of Indications and Warning is a key component of its five year plan. Warning failures associated with the Arab Spring were cited as prompting this rediscovery of old truths.

Bravo to DIA for remembering that warning is the foundation of US intelligence. Being smart is less important than being safe, as a government activity.

The Mission

Strategic intelligence warning is the one of the two primary missions of US intelligence, according to the National Security Act of 1947. The first is to use intelligence to help keep the country prosperous and safe under all circumstances. Warning is the second mission. Discussion and debate about these missions may be found in the Congressional debates and legislative history of the National Security Act.

The intent of Congress in 1947, as documented in the legislative history of the National Security Act, was that Pearl Harbor attacks should never occur again. Their prevention was the reason Congress and a very reluctant President Truman approved the US intelligence organizations in the Department of Defense and in the then-new CIA.

Every intelligence analyst who has not read the National Security Act of 1947 and National Security Council Intelligence Directive -1 (NSCID-1) is deficient.

DIA, to its great credit, is trying to get back to the foundations of US intelligence: helping keep the Republic safe by providing intelligence warning.

This and subsequent essays are devoted to presenting to DIA Readers the history and foundation of warning that is in danger of being lost and does not need to be recreated.

These essays are derived from first-hand experience in DIA’s own history in the Directorate of Intelligence, J2, Joint Chiefs of Staff; and from the warning experiences of the National Indications Center, the Strategic Warning Staff, the National Warning Staff and, much later, the Office of the National Intelligence Officer for Warning, established following the intelligence failures in 1973.

What is warning?

When NightWatch joined the Strategic Warning Staff in 1979, no one in the Staff or in the office of National Intelligence Officer for Warning could provide a definition of “warning.” Warning was presented by a senior DIA warning officer as, “anything anyone wants to make of it.”

NightWatch asked how can you ask analysts to do well what their supervisors cannot define?

An interagency group was formed by the National Intelligence Officer for Warning, David Y. McManis, in the aftermath of the overthrow of the Shah of Iran in 1979, which was another major US intelligence and warning failure. The members were intelligence and policy professionals who shared the concern about the lack of precision and the three decades of strategic intelligence failures in warning. They came up with a definition which they coordinated with all intelligence and operational organizations. It was a J2 and J3 definition in  the early 1980’s.

The definition, which was approved unanimously in multiple National Intelligence Estimates on warning topics and in the Joint Chiefs of Staff Publication No. 1, The Joint Dictionary, is as follows:

“Warning is a communication about a threat in a form, a time and a fashion to decision-makers to enable them to manage the threat by deterring or avoiding it or by preparing for its occurrence.”

A threat was defined as damage that will occur in a foreseeable and measurable time frame, unless it is managed.

Every word in the definition is important.

What is Surprise?

Surprise is a multiplier of other effects. It cannot be studied without reference to some other action – such as a surprise tornado or a surprise expulsion of US forces. Surprise cannot be avoided, but the damage can and the multiplier effect can be negated completely. In summary, those are the lessons documented by the DIA J2 between 1998 and 2006.


The radical departure reflected in the 1979 definition of warning can only be appreciated against earlier discussions that governed US intelligence between 1947 and 1970. The National Security Council Intelligence Directive-1 (NSCID -1) in 1950 directed all agencies to engage in warning. DCI directives implementing the NSCID defined warning as all those measures necessary to avoid surprise.

In late 1983, DCI William Casey told NIO/W McManis that he did not want to be surprised by anything. Zero tolerance for warning failure and a seamless web of warning, are the words Casey used. . Casey spoke in the language of policy-makers, not intelligence analysts.

Thirty years of trying to avoid surprise resulted in repeated surprises, during the 1950’s, 1960’s, and 1970’s plus great damage to US national security interests in those decades. The statement by the Deputy DIA Director indicates the same tired, old failures afflicted DIA analysis of the Arab Spring in 2010… needlessly.

The great breakthrough was in the late 1970’s when the interagency group recognized that surprise is a multiplier of good and bad developments. In connection with threats, surprise is a multiplier of damage.

Forty years of study by the US Intelligence Community, including ten years by the DIA J2, established that surprised cannot be studied by analysts as a unique topic, but only in connection with threat, which includes damage. Surprise is an adjective in its earliest definition, as in surprise attack or surprise birthday party or surprise condition. It is a noun only in an elliptical or metaphorical sense.

Surprise also refers to the alertness and readiness condition of US intelligence, not the actions of the intelligence target.

Many academic writers and 60 plus years of National Warning Staff and DIA J2 experience in strategic intelligence warning have established that surprise is not avoidable, but damage is.

The lessons of the National Warning Staff and the DIA J2 are that by concentrating on avoiding surprise, as an analytical challenge, the analysts will surely be surprise! However, by focusing on the potential damage –the threat — the damage and the surprise condition both can be avoided.

Secondly, if damage cannot be avoided or occurs under conditions of surprise but US intelligence and US forces are warned and on alert, damage will be de minimis because early warning enabled readiness.

Indicators …

Analysis of symptoms, or indicators, is the oldest structured analytical technique in US intelligence history and it works with incredible accuracy. — at least 90% accuracy in the DIA J2 experience.

For example, an indicator of the strength of the al Asad regime is that it not only cleared neighborhoods in Damascus, but also mounted a major attack against neighborhoods in Aleppo. in less than a week. This regime is not yet in danger of collapse. An indicator of its pending collapse would be abandonment of Aleppo to defend Damascus.

Qualitative indicators indicate processes at work. Quantitative indicators do not work. They were tried for three generations after World War II and failed.

Qualitative — living systems — indicators indicate that Syria, as a living system, is healthier than western media report. because it can defend its center and its key assets outside the center.  The indicators indicate shrinkage, but not that collapse is imminent.

The 60 years of experience in analysis of indicators in US intelligence warning will be addressed in a future essay.

End of NightWatch for 29 July.

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2nd Amendment proves valid defense against black gangs

Editor’s note: Colin Flaherty has done more reporting than any other journalist on what appears to be a nationwide trend of skyrocketing black-on-white crime, violence and abuse. WND features these reports to counterbalance the virtual blackout by the rest of the media due to their concerns that reporting such incidents would be inflammatory or even racist. WND considers it racist not to report racial abuse solely because of the skin color of the perpetrators or victims.

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Syrian lashes out at Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Turkey

BEIRUT – The Syrian regime accused regional powerhouses Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Turkey of trying to destroy the country and vowed Sunday that it would defeat rebels who have captured large swathes of the commercial hub Aleppo.

Military forces in Aleppo fired tank and artillery shells at neighbourhoods as rebels tried to repel the government air and ground assault. According to activists, rebels who launched an operation to take over Syria’s largest city a week ago are estimated to control between a third and a half of Aleppo’s neighbourhoods.

Foreign Minister Walid al-Moallem, on a visit to Iran, levelled some rare public criticism of Sunni powers in the Middle East, saying Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Turkey are supporting a plot hatched by Israel to destroy Syria. The three countries have all been backing rebels trying to overthrow authoritarian President Bashar Assad.

“Israel is the mastermind of all in this crisis,” Moallem told a joint news conference in Tehran with his Iranian counterpart Ali Akbar Salehi . “They (Qatar, Saudi Arabia and Turkey) are fighting in the same front.”

The battle for Aleppo, once a bastion of support for Assad’s regime, is critical for both the regime and the opposition. Its fall would be a major blow to Assad, giving the opposition a major strategic victory with a new stronghold in the north.

“They mobilized all their armed terrorists and tried to capture Damascus in less than a week,” Moallem said. “They were defeated. Today, they’ve gone to Aleppo and definitely they will be defeated in Aleppo,” he added. The rebels mounted a challenge to the regime in Damascus before the assault on Aleppo, but after a week of intense clashes, they were defeated.

Iran, Syria’s only remaining ally in the Middle East, has provided Assad’s government with military and political backing for years, and has kept up its strong support for the regime since the uprising began in March 2011.

Sunday’s bombardment was part of a government counter-offensive to retake control of districts that had fallen into rebel hands last week at the beginning of their bid to capture Aleppo.

Activists said the shelling was most intense in the southwestern neighbourhoods of Salaheddine, Bustan al-Qasr and parts of Saif al-Dawla, some of the first areas seized by the rebels when they started the push last week after being routed in a similar attack against the capital Damascus.

“Life in Aleppo has become unbearable. I’m in my car and I’m leaving right now,” said a Syrian opposition writer who was fleeing the city Sunday. “There’s shelling night and day, every day,” he said, speaking on condition of anonymity for fear of reprisals.

The writer and other activists from Aleppo said economic conditions had become dire in the city.

“Bread, gasoline and gas are being sold on the black market at very high prices,” he said. “Many things are in shortage.”

State-run news agency SANA said security agents were hunting down armed groups in several areas of Aleppo including Salaheddine, inflicting heavy losses upon the “terrorists” — the term authorities use to describe the rebels.

SANA quoted an Aleppo official as saying troops would continue until the city is “purged” of armed groups and peace and tranquility is restored.

Syrian Interior Minister Mohammad al-Shaar vowed late Saturday that the Syrian army would root out terrorism and restore order to Syria. Al-Shaar was making his first televised appearance since he was wounded in the July 18 bomb attack in Damascus that killed four other top security leaders in Assad’s inner circle.

Al-Shaar’s arm was bandaged, but he said he was back at his job with “greater determination.”

Mohammad Saeed, an Aleppo-based activist, said Sunday’s shelling was some of the heaviest seen yet.

“But the rebels are still holding up well,” he said. “No ground troops have been able to enter. They are shelling from outside.” He said rebels were fighting back against the attackers.

He said around 200 fighters entered the city Sunday to join about 1,000 fighters who had poured into the city in the past few days to take on the Syrian army, which had been massing forces around the city ahead of the bombardment.

He also said rebels have received “a new batch of weapons and ammunition,” but declined to say from where.

An amateur video posted online by activists showed flames and black smoke billowing from a building in the Bustan al-Qasr district of Aleppo.

Another video showed rebels celebrating the seizure of a tank in the town of al-Bab in Aleppo countryside. Dozens of rebels, some waving Kalashnikov rifles, sat atop the tank as it drove through al-Bab, while residents shouted “Allahu Akbar” and motorists honked their horns in celebration.

The Britain-based activist group Syrian Observatory for Human Rights also reported heavy fighting and explosions in Aleppo. It reported intense clashes in the Bab al-Hadeed, al-Zahraa and al-Arqoub neighbourhoods.

The international community has raised an outcry about a possible massacre in this city of 3 million but acknowledged there was little they could do to stop the bloodshed. The foreign minister of Russia, a powerful ally of Syria, said over the weekend it was “simply unrealistic” for Damascus to cede control of Aleppo.

Since the rebel assault on Aleppo began a week ago, about 162 people have been killed, mostly civilians, according to the Observatory. Some 19,000 people have been killed since the uprising began, the group says.

The violence has sent refugees flooding into neighbouring countries including Jordan, Turkey, Iraq and Lebanon.

Jordan said it had opened its first tent camp for Syrians, saying a surge of refugees forced it to do so.

Authorities had been reluctant to set up the camps, possibly to avoid angering Assad’s regime by concentrating images of civilians fleeing his military onslaught.

But with 142,000 Syrians refugees and their numbers growing daily by up to 2,000, Foreign Minister Nasser Judeh said Sunday that Jordan had no other choice. He spoke at the camp’s opening ceremony in the hamlet of Zataari, about 11 kilometres (7 miles) from the northern border with Syria.

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Sex Doll Saved From Drowning By 18 Cops

The phrase “inflated body count’ took on new meaning for 18 cops in China’s Shandong Province who worked together to save a sex doll they thought was a drowning woman.

The incident happened July 11 when officers responded to a report that there was a lady in distress in one of the province’s rivers. The crew worked frantically for nearly an hour to rescue the woman, according to Digital Journal, and in the process, attracted a crowd of about 1,000 curious, excited and anxious spectators to the scene.

It took more than 40 minutes before the officers were able to recover the pleasure toy.

After confirming that they had indeed run around in a panic for nearly an hour over trying to rescue someone’s blow-up girlfriend, the police presented it to the anxious crowd, who quickly covered their children’s eyes and walked away, according to

No word on how the sex doll got in the river in the first place, but the Times of India reports that Shandong is an important center for producing sex toys in China and supplies them across the globe.

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Sheep Sex Report Leads To Search For Elderly Swedish Man

Police in Ronneby, Sweden, are on the lookout for an elderly man who has been accused of having sex with a sheep.

The man — who an eyewitness described as slightly built, between 60 and 70 years and without pants — was allegedly witnessed in the act by a farm hand who was passing by the field on Monday afternoon.

“The employee saw it when it all was, so to speak, coming to an end,” Ronneby police inspector Ronny Götesson told the Swedish language newspaper Kvällsposten Daily. “He was so shocked that he did not have time to stop the man who did it.”

The witness said the alleged sheep rapist bound the sheep’s back legs together to make it easier to commit the act, The Local reported.

It is unknown whether the sheep was injured during the act, which could be crucial to any arrest.

Sweden decriminalized sex with animals in 1944, but perpetrators can be tried for animal cruelty if the animal is deemed to have sustained injury.

Meanwhile, the suspect remains on the lam, but could be facing a more serious problem than just being arrested.

A study published in the Journal of Sexual Medicine last November found that men who have had sex with animals were twice as likely to develop penile cancer as those who stick with their own species.

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A Conservative View

I normally do not post more than one article each day. When you read this I hope you understand why I poste two articles today. CB

This article by Steve McCann was sent to me by Dr. Forrest, a great friend. I have no idea who Steve McCann is but his facts are indisputable. This will hopefully be shared with every American possible. I was asked to forward the message but I chose to post it on this blog. I ask everyone who reads this to forward and share it.  C Brewer

 Obama’s Second Term Transformation Plans 

The 2012 election has often been described as the most pivotal since 1860.This statement is not hyperbole. If Barack Obama is re-elected the United States will never be the same, nor will it be able to re-capture its once lofty status as the most dominant nation in the history of mankind. 

The overwhelming…

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Graphic- Power Plants to be Closed by EPA Regulation

Wodin's Keep

Bear in mind that CHINA is bringing about 1 New Coal Powered Power Plant online EVERY DAY! Whose got the Power? EPA is what NEEDS Regulation!

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New Encrypted Email, Text, Mobile and VOIP

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Southern Indiana Treasure Legends by county

1….Josiah Hite was a counterfeiter at Charlestown in the 1800’s, he was arrested but escaped and never reappeared in the area, his store of silver used in counterfeiting and a cache of silver coins remains buried somewhere near his old home site.
2….The early Indians had a secret Gold and Silver mine in the area of Charlestown.  Townspeople tried to follow them, but all efforts failed. When the Indians moved west in 1838 they took the secret of the location with them.
3….During Prohibition, a night club was a major hangout for hangsters, bootleggers and gamblers from Chicago, Cleveland and other cities.  Numereous caches are believed to be in this area.  It was located on Hwy 131 where it crosses Silver Creek.
4….In 1812, John Work lived near the present-day George Rodgers Clark Boys Scout Camp on 14 Mile Creek near Utica.  He was blindfolded by the Indians and taken to a cave where they showed him a large quanity of Silver. The mystery of the cave location has never been solved, Work always believed it was in a deep hollow West of the mill.
1….Little Goss Cave is located on teh Drabeck property…The Reno gang used it as a hide out and buried caches in or around the cave.  It is located 3 miles off Hwy 150, 335 near Greenville.
2….Early Indians worked a rich Silver mine somewhere on or near Round Top Knob, 4 1/2 miles West of Memphis
3….In 1862, Union Soliders were ordered to take a large amount of gold and silver, believed to be a government payroll, across the Ohio River from Kentucky and into Indiana, then follow the old Corydon Pike, now Hwy 62, for 5 miles and there bury the money.  This took place during heavy fighting in the Battle of Perryville.  The soldiers were either killed or transfered as the money was never recovered.  The location is believed to be located near the railroad tracks just before starting up the hill to Edwardsville on Hwy 62, on the right side of lthe road heading West.
4….Metal Detecting location…..A large amusement park operated from 1900 to 1940 on Rose Island near Six-Mile Road on the Ohio River below New Albany…1,000’s of people went to the park during the time it was operating…should be good for coins and jewelry.
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